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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+8.98vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.54+9.04vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+8.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+3.37vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.97vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.15+2.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.44+4.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84+1.36vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38+2.37vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.14-1.57vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.98vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.23-3.80vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.32-1.54vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.01-5.51vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.27+0.16vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-8.02vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-7.30vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-11.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.04Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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11.16Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.37Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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11.14Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.37Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.46George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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15.16Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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9.7Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| William Marshall | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Mary Paz | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Conner Harding | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Christophe Killian | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 45.7% |
| Patrick Tara | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.