Race 11C

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Louisa Nordstrom 7.4% 9.0% 6.9% 6.5% 8.3% 7.9% 6.9% 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 5.5% 5.7% 3.2% 5.0% 4.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5%
Mary Paz 2.3% 2.8% 3.2% 3.4% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 4.4% 5.6% 4.7% 4.6% 6.8% 6.7% 7.8% 9.4% 8.1% 9.3% 7.9%
Lydia Grasberger 4.2% 5.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.2% 6.4% 5.1% 6.1% 4.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.1% 5.1% 6.5% 7.8% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5%
Dreugh Phillips 5.5% 5.2% 6.5% 6.0% 5.1% 3.8% 6.1% 5.4% 6.2% 6.8% 4.4% 6.2% 6.9% 6.0% 6.7% 4.6% 5.9% 2.7%
Kyle Easton 7.6% 7.4% 7.9% 6.5% 7.7% 5.7% 5.3% 6.9% 6.6% 6.7% 5.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 3.9% 3.7% 2.7% 1.0%
Mack Fox 7.6% 7.3% 6.8% 6.2% 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 8.0% 6.9% 4.6% 5.9% 5.3% 5.0% 4.8% 3.8% 3.3% 2.5% 0.8%
Alexander Stewart 11.5% 10.3% 9.4% 8.9% 8.5% 8.2% 7.6% 6.7% 6.8% 4.6% 5.2% 3.9% 3.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Conner Harding 7.3% 7.9% 7.9% 6.6% 7.7% 7.0% 5.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.0% 5.2% 5.5% 5.0% 5.9% 3.2% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Rose Edwards 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 5.6% 5.3% 5.7% 6.5% 5.2% 6.1% 6.4% 6.7% 8.1% 7.0% 6.6% 3.7% 3.2%
Dylan Farrell 3.8% 3.1% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.7% 3.2% 3.8% 5.0% 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 6.0% 7.7% 8.8% 11.3% 10.0% 8.5%
Alexandra Maurillo 4.0% 3.7% 3.3% 4.8% 3.6% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% 4.1% 6.3% 7.1% 7.2% 7.3% 8.1% 8.5% 7.5% 7.7%
Wade Wagner 2.5% 2.4% 3.4% 4.4% 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.4% 3.7% 5.3% 5.7% 4.7% 6.3% 5.6% 6.9% 10.9% 15.5% 9.0%
Patrick Tara 8.1% 6.5% 7.9% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 5.8% 6.9% 6.4% 5.6% 5.6% 4.4% 4.1% 3.4% 3.0% 2.6% 0.8%
Jackson McCoy 7.2% 8.2% 7.3% 8.0% 6.2% 7.0% 6.2% 6.0% 5.5% 5.5% 7.3% 6.3% 5.2% 4.2% 3.5% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7%
Jacob Bruce 0.9% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 2.0% 1.5% 3.6% 3.2% 4.5% 5.9% 7.8% 13.5% 45.4%
Margaret Kilvert 3.4% 3.0% 3.8% 4.8% 3.7% 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 4.8% 6.5% 5.8% 6.1% 6.9% 5.7% 7.8% 6.4% 10.7% 5.4%
Christophe Killian 5.8% 6.6% 5.7% 4.3% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 6.0% 6.4% 5.5% 6.7% 4.8% 7.8% 6.3% 5.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.8%
William Marshall 6.9% 6.3% 6.7% 8.1% 6.7% 7.4% 8.2% 6.7% 5.0% 7.3% 5.8% 5.2% 6.1% 3.7% 2.5% 3.7% 2.6% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.