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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.48vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.32+9.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+6.77vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.01+4.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.93vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+1.45vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+0.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14+0.13vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54+1.74vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-1.94vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.44+0.30vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-3.63vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-3.32vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-4.81vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.15-6.93vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.50-5.07vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.27-1.72vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.38-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.93George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.45Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.74Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.3Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.19Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.07Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.93Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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15.28Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.19Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Mack Fox | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Tara | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Conner Harding | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Mary Paz | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| William Marshall | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 49.4% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.