Race 3B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Marlena Fauer 12.8% 11.5% 9.3% 9.7% 7.8% 10.2% 5.8% 7.5% 6.3% 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Liv Gunnarsson 4.4% 5.4% 6.0% 6.1% 5.1% 4.4% 6.1% 6.7% 5.2% 6.1% 7.6% 8.0% 7.2% 8.3% 7.6% 5.8%
Emily Billing 7.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 8.0% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 7.3% 8.8% 5.8% 6.1% 5.0% 5.2% 2.5% 1.9%
Corina Radtke 3.5% 4.1% 5.7% 6.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 6.8%
Corey Hall 6.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.9% 7.7% 7.6% 6.7% 8.0% 7.0% 5.9% 7.2% 4.9% 7.1% 4.6% 5.1% 2.2%
Jennifer Adler 7.7% 9.0% 10.4% 8.3% 8.9% 8.5% 7.4% 6.5% 6.1% 6.1% 5.7% 4.4% 3.9% 3.6% 2.6% 0.9%
Jennifer Proctor 7.6% 7.6% 7.1% 6.2% 7.6% 8.7% 6.2% 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 8.1% 4.7% 6.4% 5.5% 3.0% 1.3%
Killian Corbishley 4.0% 4.4% 4.9% 3.9% 5.2% 4.7% 6.1% 5.5% 5.9% 7.3% 6.4% 8.1% 7.5% 9.6% 7.9% 8.6%
Lauren Burke 4.3% 5.0% 4.6% 4.7% 5.3% 6.4% 5.1% 5.6% 6.7% 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 6.5% 7.2%
Kaye Siemers 5.2% 4.6% 5.7% 3.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.0% 6.2% 7.0% 8.4% 8.3% 8.0% 7.8% 7.4% 7.0% 4.7%
Stephanie Hudson 10.0% 7.9% 7.7% 10.0% 6.8% 6.6% 9.1% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 5.2% 5.4% 3.6% 3.2% 2.4% 0.7%
Laura Cuccio 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 1.7% 3.8% 4.5% 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 8.1% 8.4% 13.4% 28.5%
Atlantic Brugman 10.9% 11.4% 10.3% 8.7% 9.1% 7.7% 8.4% 6.3% 7.9% 4.5% 3.9% 4.4% 3.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Erica Lush 2.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 3.4% 2.9% 4.1% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% 5.7% 8.2% 10.2% 15.8% 19.4%
Caitlin Watson 3.3% 3.4% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 5.2% 4.9% 6.2% 7.9% 8.1% 11.3% 13.5% 10.6%
Mayumi Roller 8.2% 7.9% 7.6% 10.3% 8.3% 8.4% 7.7% 7.0% 6.7% 5.9% 6.2% 6.3% 3.8% 2.5% 2.2% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.