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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.42vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.01+5.97vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+3.70vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.82+4.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.88vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33+0.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14+0.08vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76+0.78vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.32+1.83vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-2.78vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.27+3.36vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-1.64vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-3.62vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.38-3.71vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.84-6.49vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.15-8.75vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.44-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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7.37Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.78Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.83George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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15.36Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.36Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.38Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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11.29Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.25Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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11.01Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Conner Harding | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Tara | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% |
| Kyle Easton | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 48.9% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| William Marshall | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Mary Paz | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.