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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.48+3.56vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-1.85vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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2.37Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.96University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Hansen | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 6.4% |
| Maeve White | 35.5% | 26.4% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 19.5% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 2.3% |
| Leah Ford | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 26.1% | 16.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.9% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 3.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 11.9% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.