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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92-0.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.37vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.32Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.96University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 13.0% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Simone Staff | 18.7% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Maeve White | 36.9% | 26.3% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 6.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 57.9% |
| Leah Ford | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 24.2% | 19.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.