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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.21vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.31vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92-3.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.110.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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7.0University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 19.8% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 10.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 6.1% |
| Maeve White | 35.2% | 27.1% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 62.1% |
| Leah Ford | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.