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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.29vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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5.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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6.97University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 37.4% | 26.9% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Simone Staff | 17.8% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 22.7% | 10.8% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.3% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 6.3% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 60.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.6% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 4.5% |
| Leah Ford | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 24.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.