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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.48+3.63vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92-1.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.11+2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-2.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.38Stanford University2.920.3%1st Place
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7.01University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.78University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Hansen | 7.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 5.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 12.3% |
| Simone Staff | 20.1% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Maeve White | 34.6% | 28.3% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 60.7% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.4% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 3.8% |
| Leah Ford | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 23.6% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.