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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.68vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92-0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.15vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-1.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.110.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.85University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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4.16University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.0University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 18.8% | 22.2% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 5.9% |
| Maeve White | 36.3% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 21.7% | 10.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.7% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 62.1% |
| Leah Ford | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 23.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.