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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.83vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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4.22University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 38.4% | 25.4% | 17.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.6% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 22.0% | 10.8% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 6.1% |
| Simone Staff | 18.9% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Leah Ford | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 25.9% | 18.2% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.