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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.74+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.73vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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5.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 38.3% | 27.0% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.6% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Simone Staff | 18.0% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 11.1% |
| Leah Ford | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 25.6% | 18.5% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.