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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+3.13vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+0.35vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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5.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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6.99University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Maeve White | 36.5% | 25.5% | 18.0% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 11.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.4% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Simone Staff | 19.3% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Leah Ford | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 24.7% | 17.3% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 7.5% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 19.4% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.