Race 4B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Marlena Fauer 11.3% 10.5% 12.0% 10.5% 8.7% 8.0% 7.9% 6.3% 5.4% 5.4% 4.0% 3.3% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.7%
Jennifer Adler 10.1% 9.7% 9.1% 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 7.6% 7.4% 6.6% 4.1% 6.6% 4.5% 4.2% 3.0% 2.2% 0.9%
Lauren Burke 4.7% 4.8% 3.1% 5.3% 6.5% 5.0% 4.6% 6.1% 7.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.3% 9.0% 7.6% 7.8% 6.3%
Emily Billing 5.6% 8.6% 7.7% 6.2% 7.0% 5.6% 8.1% 8.5% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 6.2% 5.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.9%
Atlantic Brugman 10.3% 10.8% 9.0% 10.1% 10.1% 7.5% 6.7% 7.3% 6.5% 6.6% 5.2% 3.4% 3.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4%
Killian Corbishley 3.0% 3.2% 5.1% 4.4% 5.2% 7.0% 5.1% 5.9% 5.4% 7.1% 6.4% 6.5% 8.2% 7.9% 10.2% 9.4%
Jennifer Proctor 8.3% 7.0% 6.7% 6.1% 6.6% 8.6% 8.7% 5.9% 6.4% 6.8% 6.7% 6.2% 5.3% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7%
Corey Hall 6.4% 7.2% 8.3% 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 8.3% 7.0% 8.8% 5.9% 8.1% 6.1% 5.0% 4.8% 3.7% 1.9%
Laura Cuccio 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 4.4% 5.0% 5.3% 5.4% 8.1% 9.6% 15.7% 25.8%
Liv Gunnarsson 5.1% 4.5% 5.0% 4.7% 4.0% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 8.7% 6.5% 8.2% 8.0% 8.7% 7.7% 7.2% 5.9%
Kaye Siemers 6.1% 5.5% 3.3% 5.6% 5.8% 6.2% 5.6% 6.1% 6.3% 6.1% 7.1% 8.0% 8.4% 7.9% 6.6% 5.4%
Stephanie Hudson 9.2% 7.1% 10.6% 10.0% 6.9% 6.6% 7.1% 6.7% 6.4% 7.0% 6.5% 5.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.1%
Erica Lush 2.0% 2.0% 2.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.9% 3.2% 4.3% 3.2% 6.2% 5.2% 8.2% 6.7% 10.8% 13.5% 21.1%
Corina Radtke 4.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 6.5% 6.8% 6.1% 7.0% 9.0% 6.8% 7.7% 5.6%
Caitlin Watson 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 2.7% 4.6% 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.3% 7.4% 11.6% 13.3% 10.9%
Mayumi Roller 7.5% 9.0% 7.5% 8.4% 8.8% 9.1% 7.6% 8.0% 6.4% 7.0% 4.9% 5.7% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.