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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+1.61vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.83+1.12vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.31+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.18-2.31vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.03-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Washington1.1528.4%1st Place
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3.12Western Washington University0.8319.7%1st Place
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3.59Western Washington University0.5412.9%1st Place
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4.47University of Washington-0.317.0%1st Place
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2.69University of Washington1.1825.2%1st Place
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4.53Western Washington University0.036.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 28.4% | 24.9% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Turloff | 19.7% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 7.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 12.9% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 13.5% |
| Kieran Lyons | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 35.7% |
| Owen Thomas | 25.2% | 24.3% | 23.0% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 23.6% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.