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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.12vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+2.21vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92-0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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2.33Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.85University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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6.99University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 24.1% | 8.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 2.8% |
| Maeve White | 37.1% | 24.5% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.0% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Simone Staff | 17.7% | 23.3% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 59.3% |
| Leah Ford | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 25.5% | 19.9% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 9.5% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.