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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.11+3.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.36vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 36.8% | 27.9% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.0% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 15.9% | 59.2% |
| Simone Staff | 18.3% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.2% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 6.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 22.6% | 12.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 23.1% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.