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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.83vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92-1.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.96vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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2.36Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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6.96University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 3.1% |
| Simone Staff | 18.2% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 14.2% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Maeve White | 36.6% | 24.6% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 6.4% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 58.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 13.8% |
| Leah Ford | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 25.2% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.