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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.25vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.11+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.44vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.36Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.88University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.0University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 19.6% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Maeve White | 35.7% | 26.8% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.7% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 59.7% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 4.8% |
| Leah Ford | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 24.4% | 17.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 22.2% | 11.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.4% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.