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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.96vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.59vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92-1.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.11+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.18Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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6.21University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 16.6% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| Simone Staff | 18.7% | 24.8% | 23.6% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 23.5% | 12.3% |
| Maeve White | 38.6% | 27.2% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 64.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 4.6% |
| Leah Ford | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 30.7% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.