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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.27vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.59+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.44-1.59vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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2.6Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.58University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 20.7% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Martina Sly | 31.5% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 7.3% |
| Louise Currie | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Erika Barth | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 21.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 12.8% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.