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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.59+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.36vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55-1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.44-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.58Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.46University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louise Currie | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 18.7% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 12.5% |
| Martina Sly | 31.3% | 25.1% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Christina Gasparich | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 6.0% |
| Erika Barth | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 21.6% | 22.1% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.1% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.