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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.44+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+1.60vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55-2.44vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.59-2.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.49University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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5.6University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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2.56Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 21.1% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Christina Gasparich | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 6.4% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
| Erika Barth | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 22.9% |
| Martina Sly | 31.7% | 26.6% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| Louise Currie | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 21.0% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.