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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.43+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.80+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.44+0.47vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.19+0.50vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55-4.32vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.59-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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2.68Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 19.2% | 21.3% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 6.5% |
| Erika Barth | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 23.4% | 21.6% |
| Christina Gasparich | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 6.9% |
| Grace Carrick | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 11.3% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 47.1% |
| Martina Sly | 30.6% | 23.8% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Louise Currie | 13.4% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.