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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.81+8.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+5.52vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.98vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.53+2.82vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.55vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.86+0.14vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22-2.12vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.040.00vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.51-6.14vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-4.78vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-3.53vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.91-6.86vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.92Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.47Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.14Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Burke | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Emily Billing | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Adler | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Corey Hall | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 27.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 21.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.