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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.51vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.44-2.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.57University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 33.9% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 12.4% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 6.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 19.0% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Louise Currie | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Erika Barth | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 22.5% |
| Christina Gasparich | 11.0% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.