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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.59+3.10vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.44-0.56vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.04-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.43-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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2.59Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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5.57University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louise Currie | 10.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Martina Sly | 31.6% | 25.9% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 20.6% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Erika Barth | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 23.5% | 19.4% |
| Christina Gasparich | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 5.4% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 11.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 18.4% | 52.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 11.2% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.