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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.44+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.43+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.80+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.65vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55-2.41vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59-1.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.04-0.30vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.5University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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2.59Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.15University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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4.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Gasparich | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 6.2% |
| Erika Barth | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 25.6% | 18.7% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 20.2% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Martina Sly | 32.4% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Louise Currie | 11.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 53.4% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.