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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.44+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.59+2.19vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.65vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55-2.42vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.04-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.80-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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2.58Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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5.49University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Gasparich | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
| Louise Currie | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 10.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 19.8% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Martina Sly | 33.0% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 53.7% |
| Erika Barth | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.