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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.43+3.41vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+1.59vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-2.68vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.44-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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2.59Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.48University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Roudebush | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% |
| Martina Sly | 30.9% | 25.8% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Louise Currie | 12.4% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Erika Barth | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 22.9% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 11.9% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 19.9% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Christina Gasparich | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 7.2% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 21.2% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.