← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.28vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.43+2.52vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego0.80+2.58vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.99vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.55-2.44vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.19+0.47vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California1.44-2.47vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii1.59-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
-
4.52University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
-
4.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
2.56Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
-
6.47University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
-
4.53University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
-
4.07University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 19.7% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Erika Barth | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 25.2% | 20.2% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 11.7% |
| Martina Sly | 31.5% | 26.3% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 46.4% |
| Christina Gasparich | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% |
| Louise Currie | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.