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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.27vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.52vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.08vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.44-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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2.59Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 21.2% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Martina Sly | 30.5% | 26.3% | 18.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Louise Currie | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Erika Barth | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 23.5% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.1% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 6.3% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.6% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 12.5% |
| Christina Gasparich | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 7.8% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.