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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.18+0.58vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.31+0.53vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.03-0.49vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Washington1.1527.8%1st Place
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2.58University of Washington1.1828.3%1st Place
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3.62Western Washington University0.5414.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Washington-0.316.1%1st Place
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4.51Western Washington University0.036.1%1st Place
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3.18Western Washington University0.8317.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 27.8% | 25.1% | 22.0% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Owen Thomas | 28.3% | 25.2% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 13.9% |
| Kieran Lyons | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 24.3% | 36.9% |
| Caroline Hurley | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 37.6% |
| Alexander Turloff | 17.5% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.