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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.59+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.44+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.11vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55-2.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University2.550.4%1st Place
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5.06University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Carrick | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| Louise Currie | 12.8% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% |
| Christina Gasparich | 12.8% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 12.4% |
| Martina Sly | 37.0% | 26.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Erika Barth | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 33.2% |
| Julia Downey | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.