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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+5.94vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.02vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+3.86vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+6.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+4.82vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.34vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24-0.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.43vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.63+3.35vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.80-1.42vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-1.67vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.82-3.51vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-7.08vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.60-8.30vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.72Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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13.35Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.58Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.49Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 44.9% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 9.3% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| John Rolander | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.