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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+5.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+3.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+4.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+3.81vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+3.62vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.09vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-1.15vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.80-0.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.82-1.46vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-4.89vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-3.77vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-7.11vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-4.55vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.62Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.68Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.54Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.89Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.42Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| John Rolander | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Read | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| William Crary | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 8.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.