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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+6.59vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+2.35vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+3.84vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+0.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-1.10vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.63+4.28vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.80-0.36vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-3.92vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-4.02vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-2.70vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.66vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.59Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.28Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.64Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.44Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Read | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| John Rolander | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 43.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.