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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.53+4.58vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+6.40vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.04+7.11vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+0.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-2.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.29vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-4.95vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.86-2.78vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-5.43vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-5.02vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-5.89vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-4.36vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.4Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.91Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island2.860.1%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.98Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.64Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.52Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Adler | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Corey Hall | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Laura Cuccio | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 27.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Emily Billing | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Erica Lush | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 21.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.