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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+5.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+4.98vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+5.63vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+3.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.14vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+0.99vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-0.16vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.82-1.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-4.90vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-2.70vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-3.56vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-1.57vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.54Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.44Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.43Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.71Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Brendan Read | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| John Rolander | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 46.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.