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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.91vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+8.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+6.56vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.08vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+1.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+0.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76+1.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.15vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-3.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.41vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-4.86vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-6.02vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-4.53vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-4.50vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.44Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.56Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.08Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.47Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.41Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| John Rolander | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| William Crary | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.7% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.