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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+5.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+4.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+6.77vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.80+5.73vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.82+4.53vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54+4.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.76vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+2.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-3.72vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-3.93vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.60-5.30vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-6.15vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.89vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-6.95vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.53Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.58Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.85Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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13.47Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| John Rolander | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Read | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Crary | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.