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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+5.94vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+3.91vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+2.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.00vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54+4.54vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+0.14vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-0.17vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.49-3.96vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.71-5.68vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.63+0.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-5.52vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.82-5.32vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.54Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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13.32Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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9.68Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.7Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 8.7% |
| William Crary | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Brendan Read | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| John Rolander | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 43.9% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.