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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+9.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.82+7.45vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+7.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+2.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.71vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+0.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+0.22vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.09vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-1.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-2.90vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.63+2.16vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-4.04vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-3.24vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-4.47vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.65vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.60-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.18Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.45Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.57Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.16Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.53Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 10.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| John Rolander | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 46.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Read | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.