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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+4.30vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+5.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38+3.70vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+3.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+3.89vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.08vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67+1.12vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.72+0.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-1.78vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16+0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-2.80vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-2.81vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.52-1.05vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-6.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-7.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.89Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.12Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.07Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.19Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.95Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| James Beatty | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 38.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.