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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+4.33vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+6.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.80vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+5.48vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+4.28vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+2.20vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+0.46vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98-0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-1.35vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52+3.14vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-0.85vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.38-5.31vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-4.17vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.19-6.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-6.39vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.16-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.97Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.48Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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13.14Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.15Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.83Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 14.7% | 42.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| James Beatty | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.