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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont4.60+6.44vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.56vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.99+7.17vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.47+8.33vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.02vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College4.15+3.75vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.76-0.44vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.52-0.36vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.28-0.16vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.85-3.58vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.64+0.92vs Predicted
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13Washington College4.25-2.71vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.74-1.73vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin4.10-4.34vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.92-4.56vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.33-7.55vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.00-0.02vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy4.34-9.52vs Predicted
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20University of Washington2.87-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.56St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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13.33Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.75SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.84Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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7.42Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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12.92Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.29Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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12.27University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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11.44Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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17.98Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Barrows | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Joseph Blouin | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Britton Steele | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 57.4% |
| Robert Vann | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 23.4% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.