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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+5.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+5.98vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+2.45vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+4.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.88vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+1.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-1.36vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-2.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-1.82vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-4.59vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-2.88vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.16-2.93vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.52-1.86vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.36Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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8.7Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.12Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.14Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.19Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 14.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 16.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 40.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.