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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.70+7.10vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+6.31vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+5.30vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+5.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38+0.71vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+1.30vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19-0.78vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-3.65vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-2.18vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-2.20vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.16-0.96vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-4.87vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-5.61vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.20-7.57vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.52-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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9.31Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.3Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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10.22Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.35Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.18Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| James Beatty | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.