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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+4.34vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+6.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.82vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+3.88vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20+2.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38+0.75vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+0.36vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.16+2.09vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-1.84vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.67-2.68vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-2.85vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.72-5.05vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.19-7.54vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.52-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.91Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.32Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.15Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.95Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.18Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| James Beatty | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 15.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.