Race 7B

82nd-boston-dinghy-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alexander Stewart 11.4% 11.6% 10.9% 10.7% 11.1% 6.8% 7.2% 6.7% 5.9% 5.2% 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5%
James Beatty 9.1% 11.4% 8.9% 7.4% 7.7% 8.2% 7.8% 6.7% 6.0% 6.2% 5.7% 5.2% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 1.3%
Duncan Williford 7.5% 7.4% 6.9% 8.2% 6.2% 8.8% 7.4% 6.6% 7.3% 8.1% 7.0% 5.5% 4.9% 3.4% 3.5% 1.3%
Dakota Northrup 5.3% 7.7% 7.4% 7.0% 6.8% 6.2% 6.8% 8.4% 5.5% 8.2% 6.7% 5.9% 6.5% 5.9% 4.1% 1.6%
Robby Gearon 6.2% 5.2% 6.1% 7.2% 6.4% 7.3% 6.3% 7.4% 6.9% 6.2% 6.8% 7.5% 6.8% 6.7% 5.5% 1.5%
Peter Christensen 2.9% 1.5% 2.6% 2.5% 4.6% 4.1% 5.0% 4.3% 6.1% 5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 7.1% 9.4% 14.4% 17.6%
Sam Alexander 5.2% 5.0% 6.0% 5.6% 4.7% 6.6% 5.6% 6.0% 6.7% 7.3% 6.6% 7.3% 7.7% 9.1% 6.7% 3.9%
Charles Sinks 14.5% 11.8% 12.5% 9.9% 8.6% 9.0% 8.2% 6.2% 5.6% 4.1% 3.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Nicholas Karnovsky 7.6% 8.2% 7.4% 7.7% 8.7% 7.7% 7.9% 6.2% 7.3% 6.1% 5.7% 6.0% 4.5% 4.0% 3.2% 1.8%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 4.8% 4.0% 4.9% 4.7% 4.6% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 6.4% 8.1% 6.9% 8.7% 8.9% 8.4% 7.0% 5.6%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 5.2% 5.3% 4.4% 5.4% 5.7% 5.0% 7.1% 5.5% 5.6% 6.4% 7.9% 6.4% 8.9% 8.5% 7.7% 5.0%
Christopher Weis 5.4% 5.6% 5.7% 6.9% 6.9% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.0% 6.5% 6.4% 5.8% 7.3% 7.7% 7.1% 3.5%
Stewart Draheim 4.8% 7.2% 6.7% 6.4% 6.0% 7.1% 6.5% 8.2% 8.8% 6.1% 6.7% 6.8% 5.2% 6.3% 4.6% 2.6%
Hannah Schmidt 1.8% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.8% 5.3% 6.8% 7.6% 14.7% 39.1%
Jan Kite-Powell 5.1% 3.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.7% 6.0% 6.3% 7.9% 7.7% 9.2% 7.9% 7.2% 5.7%
Thomas Balk 3.2% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 5.4% 6.3% 6.4% 7.1% 8.3% 9.0% 9.9% 11.5% 9.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.